Carbon reduction: we have no choice

- Written on the 37th World Environment Day Two months before the arrival of this year's World Environment Day, two research reports issued by international authoritative organizations have attracted worldwide attention. The "2008 Green Data Book" released by the World Bank on May 14th predicted that by the 1980s, climate change will cause global agriculture to reduce production by more than 15%, while developing countries will reduce agricultural output by 20%. On the previous April 23, the Royal United Kingdom Military Research Institute released a report saying that if the global warming cannot slow down, it will become the main driver of national conflicts, and may even trigger two world wars. Global conflict. Looking at the conclusions of these two reports, we can better understand the good intentions and significance of the UN Environment Programme’s theme of “changing traditional concepts and promoting a low-carbon economy” as this year's World Environment Day.
The low-carbon economy advocated by this year’s World Environment Day is a new model of economic development. It is a human society that has been brought forward after a series of major social and environmental issues that have caused rapid development of agricultural civilization and industrial civilization. The green economy based on low energy consumption and low pollution is also the only way to prevent the acceleration of global warming. The connotation of low-carbon economy is very rich, and carbon reduction, that is, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and slowing the global warming trend is undoubtedly one of the most important contents. In other words, reducing emissions of carbon dioxide and methane is a top priority for the development of a low-carbon economy and a top priority for China’s economic and social development. As for the oil and chemical industry, which is one of the “main force” of greenhouse gas emissions, carbon reduction is the only choice for future industry development in the tide of low-carbon economic construction.
China is facing tremendous pressure from the environment. Although China's greenhouse gas emissions per capita as a developing country are not high, the rapid economic development in China in the past 30 years has come at the expense of a large amount of energy consumption. Consuming energy requires the release of various types of pollutants. Therefore, the total amount of greenhouse gas emissions in China is still large. According to statistics, at present, China's total carbon dioxide emissions ranks second in the world, and the total emissions of other greenhouse gases such as methane are among the highest in the world. According to statistics from the World Energy Commission, China’s carbon dioxide emissions increased by 823 million tons from 1990 to 2000, which accounted for 27% of the world’s increase over the same period. It is expected that by 2020, emissions will increase by 1.32 times on the basis of 2000. Some even estimate that by 2025, China's carbon dioxide emissions will exceed the United States, ranking first in the world. By then, China's per capita carbon dioxide emissions below the world average will likely reach the world average. This situation is becoming a great psychological burden on China’s economic development.
This pressure comes from other countries on the same planet. Although in 2002, China ratified the Kyoto Protocol to limit greenhouse gas emissions and actively reduced greenhouse gas emissions; although China has introduced a series of policies and regulations including the China National Climate Change Program to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The emissions reflect the sense of responsibility of a large developing country to the international community; although China has made every effort to reduce the large amount of greenhouse gas emissions through the clean development mechanism with the help of the capital and technology of developed countries; although China has positioned the forthcoming Beijing Olympic Games as a green Olympics. The theme of this year's World Environment Day was identified as "Green Olympics and an environment-friendly society," and it is trying to make this Olympic Games a masterpiece of carbon reduction in China in the process of organizing and organizing ... but due to the total amount of greenhouse gas emissions. Being too big and growing too fast, China still faces enormous international pressure. In 2001, the United States announced that it refused to assume one of the excuse for the Kyoto Protocol-related obligations, that is to say, China, India, Brazil and other major developing countries should be required to provide greenhouse gas emission reduction obligations. In the negotiations on the second commitment period of the "Kyoto Protocol" that began in 2005, China is becoming the number one country to be concerned. During the negotiation process, developed countries believe that if China continues to emit greenhouse gases at the current rate, their efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are meaningless because their emission reductions do not match China's increase. . Not only developed countries, but even some developing countries also require China to make carbon reduction commitments. Although China, as a developing country that does not undertake emission reduction obligations, is not afraid of such pressures, if we cannot fully reduce carbon and cannot achieve substantive and visible results in the short term, then the international The pressure will be even greater, and it will even affect the image and status of China's responsible big country.
China will develop its economy under the pressure of domestic and foreign pressures, and this pressure will naturally be transmitted to the oil and chemical industries. Because, in the country's huge amount of greenhouse gas emissions, a considerable part of it is "contribution" to the petroleum and chemical industries with large total energy consumption and total pollutant discharge. Statistics show that at present, the total amount of exhaust gas in the petroleum and chemical industries is 2942.8 billion cubic meters, accounting for 11% of the total industrial emissions in the country. A considerable part of these exhaust gases are greenhouse gases.
Under such circumstances, in addition to transforming the concept of development, through the adjustment of industrial structure, product structure adjustment, and large-scale carbon reduction through new processes, technologies, and new equipment, we have any other Choose it?

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